I-International Monetary Fund (IMF) ngoLwesibili ikhiphe i-World Economic Outlook yakamuva, ibikezela ukuthi umnotho womhlaba uzokhula ngo-3.6% ngo-2022, wehle ngamaphuzu angu-0.8% uma uqhathaniswa nesibikezelo sayo sangoJanuwari.
I-IMF ikholelwa ukuthi ukungqubuzana kanye nezijeziso zasentshonalanga eRussia kubangele inhlekelele yobuntu, kwakhuphula amanani entengo yempahla yomhlaba wonke, kwaphazamisa izimakethe zezabasebenzi kanye nohwebo lwamazwe ngamazwe, futhi kwaphazamisa nezimakethe zezimali zomhlaba.Ukusabela ekukhuphukeni kokwehla kwamandla emali, iminotho eminingi emhlabeni wonke ikhuphule izinga lenzalo, okuholele ekwehleni kwesifiso sokudla engcupheni kubatshalizimali kanye nokuqina kwezimo zezimali zomhlaba.Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukushoda komuthi wokugomela i-COVID-19 emazweni anemali engenayo encane kungaholela ekuqubukeni okusha.
Ngenxa yalokho, i-IMF yehlise isibikezelo sayo sokukhula komnotho emhlabeni wonke kulo nyaka futhi yabikezela ukukhula komhlaba wonke ngamaphesenti angu-3.6 ngo-2023, yehla ngamaphuzu angu-0.2% kunesibikezelo sayo sangaphambilini.
Ngokukhethekile, umnotho othuthukile kulindeleke ukuthi ukhule ngo-3.3 % kulo nyaka, wehle ngamaphuzu angu-0.6% kunesibikezelo sangaphambilini.Izokhula ngamaphesenti angu-2.4 ngonyaka ozayo, yehle ngamaphuzu angu-0.2% esibikezelweni sayo sangaphambilini.Izimakethe ezisafufusa kanye nezomnotho ezisathuthuka kulindeleke ukuthi zikhule ngamaphesenti angu-3.8 kulo nyaka, zehle ngamaphesenti angu-1 kusukela kwisibikezelo sangaphambilini;Izokhula ngamaphesenti angu-4.4 ngonyaka ozayo, yehle ngamaphuzu angu-0.3% kunesibikezelo sayo sangaphambilini.
I-IMF ixwayise ngokuthi izibikezelo zokukhula komhlaba aziqinisekile kakhulu kunangaphambili njengoba ukungqubuzana phakathi kweRussia ne-Ukraine kushaye kakhulu umnotho womhlaba.Uma unswinyo lwasentshonalanga eRussia lungasuswa futhi ukuwohloka okubanzi kokuthunyelwa kwamandla kagesi eRussia kuqhubeka ngemuva kokuphela kwengxabano, ukukhula komhlaba wonke kungancipha kakhulu futhi ukwehla kwamandla emali kungase kuphakame kunalokho obekulindelwe.
Umeluleki wezomnotho we-IMF kanye nomqondisi wocwaningo uPierre-Olivier Gulanza uthe engosini yakhe ngalo lolo suku ukuthi ukukhula komnotho emhlabeni akuqiniseki kakhulu.Kulesi simo esibucayi, izinqubomgomo ezingeni likazwelonke kanye nokubambisana kwezizwe eziningi kuzodlala indima ebalulekile.Amabhange amakhulu adinga ukulungisa inqubomgomo ngokuqinile ukuze aqinisekise ukuthi okulindelwe ngokwenyuka kwamandla emali kuhlala kuzinzile esikhathini esimaphakathi nesesikhathi eside, futhi anikeze ukuxhumana okucacile nesiqondiso sangaphambili mayelana nombono wenqubomgomo yezimali ukuze kuncishiswe izingozi eziphazamisayo zokulungiswa kwenqubomgomo.